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2024 Mid-Year Market Update

  • Oppenheimer Asset Management
  • July 10, 2024

Join John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer Asset Management, as he delves into the crucial developments shaping the financial landscape for the second half of the year. This insightful video covers:

  • The current interest rate environment.
  • The implications of "the end of free money" and why it could benefit the market.
  • How the upcoming presidential election might influence the market, emphasizing that revenue and earnings growth are the true drivers of stock performance, rather than the political party in power.

Discover these perspectives and more by watching the full video.

Note: Since this update aired on June 27, 2024, we revised our year-end price target for the S&P 500 to 5,900. Read more here.

Mid-Year Market Update

Disclosures

This material is intended to be of general interest only and should not be construed as individual investment advice or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any security or to adopt any investment strategy. It does not constitute legal or tax advice. This material may not be reproduced, distributed or published without prior written permission from Oppenheimer Asset Management (OAM). The views expressed are those of the respective author and the comments, opinions and analyses are rendered as at publication date and may change without notice. The underlying assumptions and these views are subject to change based on market and other conditions and may differ from other portfolio managers or of the firm as a whole. The information provided in this material is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any country, region or market. There is no assurance that any prediction, projection or forecast on the economy, stock market, bond market or the economic trends of the markets will be realized. The value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount that you invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative nor a guarantee of future performance. Asset allocation and diversification may not protect against market risk, loss of principal or volatility of returns. All investments involve risks, including possible loss of principal.

Risk factors specific to certain asset classes include:

Small Cap Risk: While small-cap companies have a lot of growth potential, they have equal potential to fail. Small-cap stocks are a riskier investment than large-cap stocks. The companies usually have less access to investment capital and are more sensitive to market changes. Foreign Security Risk: Investment in foreign securities are affected by risk factors generally not thought to be present in the US. The factors include, but are not limited to, the following: less public information about issuers of foreign securities and less governmental regulation and supervision over the issuance and trading of securities. International investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from differences in generally accepted accounting principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Fixed Income Risk: The risks associated with investing in fixed income include risks related to interest rate movements as the price of these securities will decrease as interest rates rise (interest rate risk and reinvestment risk), the risk of credit quality deterioration which is an issuer will not be able to make principal and interest payments on time (credit or default risk), and liquidity risk (the risk of not being able to buy or sell investments quickly for a price that is close to the true underlying value of the asset). High Yield Fixed Income Risk: High yield fixed income securities are considered to be speculative and involve a substantial risk of default. Adverse changes in economic conditions or developments regarding the issuer are more likely to cause price volatility for issuers of high yield debt than would be the case for issuers of higher grade debt securities. Diversifying Strategies Risk: The risks associated with investing in diversifying strategies include risks related to the potential use of leverage, hedging strategies, short sales and derivative transactions, which may result in significant losses; concentration risk and potential lack of diversification; potential lack of liquidity; and the potential for fees and expenses to offset profits. Merger-arbitrage & Event-driven strategies involve the additional risk that the portfolio manager’s evaluation of the outcome of a proposed event, whether it be a merger, reorganization, regulatory issue, or other event, will prove incorrect and the strategy will suffer losses.
Please note that a company’s history of paying dividends is not a guarantee of such payments in the future. Companies may suspend their dividends for a variety of reasons, including adverse financial results.

Index definitions:

The S&P 500 Index consists of 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation. It is a market value weighted Index(stock price times number of shares outstanding), with each stock’s weight in the Index proportionate to its market value. The Index is one of the most widely used benchmarks of US Equity Large Cap performance.

The Russell 1000 Growth Index measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values

The performance of a benchmark index is not indicative of the performance of any particular investment; however, they are considered representative of their respective market segments. Please note that indexes are unmanaged and their returns do not take into account any of the costs associated with buying and selling individual securities. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index.

This material is not a recommendation as defined in Regulation Best Interest adopted by the Securities and Exchange Commission. It is provided to you after you have received Form CRS, Regulation Best Interest disclosure and other materials.

Oppenheimer Asset Management is the name under which Oppenheimer Asset Management Inc. (OAM) does business.  OAM is a registered 

investment adviser and is an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Oppenheimer Holdings Inc., which also indirectly wholly owns Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. 

(“Oppenheimer”), a registered investment adviser and broker dealer.

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